February 28, 2011

Huguenin: Projecting the NCAA field of 68

"Selection Sunday" is March 13, which means we're just 13 days away from the field of 68 being unveiled. Here is our latest look at how we think the field will look that day.

It's important to note that this is a projection of how teams are going to finish, not how the field would look if it were decided today.

We will update this projection again Thursday.

Teams are grouped by projected seed. At the bottom is a breakdown by league of the number of projected bids and some information on the makeup of the field, the selection committee and the sites.

Remember that this is the first season of a 68-team field. There will be four play-in games this season: two involving teams that will be No. 12 seeds and two involving teams that will be No. 16 seeds. That's why there are six teams at the Nos. 12 and 16 seedings.

(Note: Asterisked teams must win their conference titles to receive an NCAA bid. RPI figures are through Sunday's games and come from collegerpi.com.)

Rivals.com Projected NCAA Field of 68
No. 1s
1. Ohio State
2. Pittsburgh
3. Kansas
4. Duke
No. 2s
5. BYU
6. Notre Dame
7. Texas
8. Syracuse
No. 3s
9. San Diego State
10. Purdue
11. Georgetown
12. Louisville
No. 4s
13. St. John's
14. Wisconsin
15. Florida
16. Connecticut
No. 5s
17. North Carolina
18. Xavier
19. Vanderbilt
20. Villanova
No. 6s
21. Temple
22. West Virginia
23. Arizona
24. Texas A&M
No. 7s
25. Missouri
26. George Mason
27. Kentucky
28. UCLA
No. 8s
29. Marquette
30. Cincinnati
31. Kansas State
32. Old Dominion
No. 9s
33. Florida State
34. UNLV
35. Illinois
36. Washington
No. 10s
37. Utah State
38. Georgia
39. Michigan State
40. Tennessee
No. 11s
41. Butler
42. Memphis
43. Gonzaga
44. Colorado
No. 12s
45. Clemson
46. UAB
47. Boston College
48. Saint Mary's
49. Richmond
50. Baylor
No. 13s
51. Missouri State*
52. Belmont*
53. Princeton*
54. Oakland*
No. 14s
55. College of Charleston*
56. Vermont*
57. Fairfield*
58. Kent State*
No. 15s
59. Bucknell*
60. Long Island*
61. Coastal Carolina*
62. Murray State*
No. 16s
63. Long Beach St.*
64. N. Colorado*
65. Florida Atlantic*
66. Texas Southern*
67. McNeese State*
68. Morgan State*
BREAKDOWN BY LEAGUE
11: Big East
7: Big 12
5: ACC, Big Ten, SEC
3: Atlantic 10, Mountain West, Pac-10
2: Colonial, Conference USA, West Coast
1: America East, Atlantic Sun, Big Sky, Big South, Big West, Horizon, Ivy, Metro Atlantic, Mid-American, Mid-Eastern Athletic, Missouri Valley, Northeast, Ohio Valley, Patriot, Southern, Southland, Southwestern Athletic, Summit, Sun Belt, West Coast, Western Athletic (20)
SOME NOTES ON THE MAKEUP OF THE FIELD
The NCAA uses an "S curve," meaning it ranks all 68 teams in order 1-68, then places them in regions under the theory the top No. 1 seed would have the worst No. 2 seed in its bracket, the worst No. 1 seed would have the top No. 2 seed, etc. The balancing of the regions is the most important factor in seeding the tournament.
As far as other rules go, teams from the same conference hopefully won't meet until a regional final, but the NCAA has relaxed that because some conferences have six and seven bids (it's even permissible for an intraconference matchup in the second round, though that is to be avoided whenever possible). But the first three teams selected from a given conference must be in different regions.
Higher-seeded teams should be placed as close to home as possible. No team may play on its home floor, but most sites are "neutral courts" anyway.
Teams can move up or down a spot or two in the "S-curve," maybe even a seed, to preserve other principles.
Ohio State athletic director Gene Smith is the chairman of the 10-member NCAA Tournament Selection Committee this season. He is one of four members with a "Big Six" affiliation, joining Big 12 commissioner Dan Beebe, Connecticut AD Jeff Hathaway and Wake Forest AD Ron Wellman. The other six members: Utah State AD Scott Barnes, Xavier AD Mike Bobinski, Big Sky commissioner Doug Fullerton, Texas-San Antonio AD Lynn Hickey, UC Riverside AD Stan Morrison and SMU AD Steve Orsini. Hickey is the second woman to serve on the committee, following Charlotte AD Judy Rose (1999-2003).
TOURNAMENT DATES
March 15: Four play-in games in Dayton, Ohio
First and second rounds
March 17 and 19: Denver, Tampa, Tucson, Ariz., and Washington, D.C.
March 18 and 20: Charlotte, Chicago, Cleveland and Tulsa, Okla.
Regional semifinals and final
March 24 and 26: Anaheim, Calif., and New Orleans.
March 25 and 27: Newark, N.J., and San Antonio
Final Four
April 2 and 4: Reliant Stadium, Houston

Mike Huguenin is the college sports editor for Rivals.com. He can be reached at mhuguenin@rivals.com.




 

Rivals.com is your source for: College Football | Football Recruiting | College Basketball | Basketball Recruiting | College Baseball | High School | College Merchandise
Site-specific editorial/photos İ Yahoo! Inc. All rights reserved. This website is an officially and independently operated source of news and information not affiliated with any school or team.
About | Advertise with Us | Contact | Privacy Policy | About our Ads | Terms of Service | Copyright/IP policy | Yahoo! Sports - NBC Sports Network

Statistical information İ2007 STATS LLC All Rights Reserved.